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March 10, China's Yunnan Yingjiang occurred 5.8 earthquake in northeastern waters of the next nine earthquake occurred in Japan, has fueled speculation and panic. The "super moon", "sinkhole", "giant cloud circles" phenomenon also happens spate During this period, giving the curious public on earthquake prediction huge imagination. Some users will be "super moon",moncler outlet it, the 10th occurred in Nanjing "giant cloud circles" and "sinkhole" on the 19th of such things as linked with earthquakes,http://www.anglao.net/news/html/?13310.html, triggering a new round of "doomsday panic." Is there no correlation between these phenomena? In this regard, the reporter interviewed astronomy,woolrich bambino online, earthquake experts in related fields.
User concerns a: "Super Moon" is approaching, causing earthquakes and other disasters?
Astronomy expert response: there is no "super moon" minimal difference on astronomy
Earthquake experts responded: earthquakes and volcanic correspondence between the so-called "super moon year" does not hold
"Super Moon" one said from the British "Daily Mail" reported on March 8 article, saying that this year March 19, the moon will arrive at the nearest location for 19 years from Earth,http://old.feipai.net:8010/bbs/showtopic.aspx?topicid=3281351&forumpage=1, then it is only a distance of Earth more than 350,000 kilometers,spaccio woolrich bologna indirizzo, looks unusually large.
Some netizens speculated that the recent earthquake and it may be related to both the "illustration" explained several times before "Super Moon", respectively, occurred in 1955, 1974, 1992 and 2005,woolrich bambini outlet, and this all happened a few years of extreme weather events : 1974 Christmas "Tracy" Hurricane, gave Australian city of Darwin in ruins; January 2005 "Super Moon" two weeks before, causing hundreds of thousands of Indonesian tsunami death; March 11, 2011 In just eight days from the super moon, Japan 9.0 earthquake occurred.
Planetarium curator Zhu Jin denied the "Super Moon said." He said, "Super Moon" argument itself is a problem, there is no "super moon" of the term on astronomy. He explained that the Moon around the Earth along an elliptical orbit do periodic motion,nike air max pas cher homme, it will have a "apogee" and "perigee", in other words, every month the Moon from the Earth "recently" once,modelli moncler, and each "recently" when the difference is actually very small. "These small differences is not enough to cause earthquakes,moncler doudoune, volcanic eruptions."
For users cite "illustration", China Seismological Bureau, Institute of Geophysics, deputy director of the high-Meng Tan told reporters that the association astronomy, climate and other phenomena and earthquakes, volcanoes and other catastrophic events between the current in the world, there are no research results. However, according to the existing research data, there is no clear relationship between the year of earthquakes, volcanoes and friends Occurrence of so-called "super moon" occurs.
Gao Meng Tan showed reporters some of the existing research data. Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, experts have studied the time series time series since 1900 more than a thousand deaths disastrous earthquakes and eruptions index of 4 or more large-scale volcanic eruptions: since 1900 more than a thousand deaths, people The following totals 108 seismic events occur on average once a year, the total number of people over the death of 31 seismic events occur on average once every 3.5 years. High Meng Tan said that from the timeline view, such an earthquake is more evenly distributed between the so-called "super moon" with no clear correspondence.
Gao Meng Tan also cited counter-example to illustrate: some catastrophe such as the Chilean earthquake and triggered a huge tsunami did not happen in the "Super Moon Year" in 1955, but in 1960; 1976 death of 24 million people in the disastrous Tangshan Earthquake, 2008 death of 80,000 people in the earthquake and more than 220,000 deaths in 2010 occurred in the Haiti earthquake has not occurred in the so-called "super moon years."
User concerns two: Recently a giant cloud circles, sinkhole appeared and earthquakes?
Earthquake experts responded: Earthquake mainly inside the Earth's surface phenomenon with no clear association
On the 10th, a giant cloud over Nanjing appear strange circle, downtown appeared five meters long, 2 meters wide and deep "sinkhole" ...... These phenomena are caused by Lenovo users: "Will the day of the earthquake in Yunnan Yingjiang related ? "
According to Nanjing Meteorological Observatory expert on the "giant cloud circle" of the investigation, confirmed that "a giant cloud circle" is flying aircraft flying at high altitude cloud formation track. CCTV "Mr. weather" Song Yingjie also confirmed this view ("Yangzi Evening News" March 10) on microblogging. For the "sinkhole", Nanjing Seismological Bureau, Department of Science and Technology detects professionals believe that the collapse of downtown Nanjing ground and surface bearing a relationship, it may be caused by the construction empty, nothing to do with earthquakes. (BEIJING, March 10)
"Giant cloud circle", "sinkhole" and other natural phenomena associated with earthquakes whether or not we? To this end, the reporter interviewed the China Earthquake Networks Center researcher Peng grams of silver. He said that early does have some folk amateur researchers "earthquake cloud" and so the relationship between earthquakes and done some exploring, but then gradually found some correspondence between what they call actually difficult to set up. First,http://123www.hche.com.cn/read.php?tid=1751434&ds=1, the "earthquake cloud" is no precise definition of rigor, and secondly, from the mechanism in terms nor a scientific and rational explanation.
Gao Meng Tan have also expressed their own views. He said the earthquake preparation occurs inside the crust, mantle and even the results of changes in the shell of the core-mantle interaction, whether mutual coupling of the Earth's surface and climate processes,http://pusijia2.113238.cn2008.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=192213,woolrich parka polar,http://bbs.wabaka.com/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=726304, there are no results of theoretical and experimental studies. Therefore, at this stage can not be scientifically identified certain meteorological phenomena and the occurrence of large earthquakes, observations, experiments and theoretical studies to be more in-depth. "We also note that meteorologists say academician Qin Dahe, within the scope of their knowledge, there is no pre-earthquake weather on scientific evidence or examples would appear abnormal."
From dragonflies flying to predict the weather, to move toads predict earthquakes, the ancient Chinese folk accumulated a lot of stories and arguments. These experiences through word of mouth from generation to generation of the population, to date, in the folk - including today's network point of view, there is still not low level of trust. Modern seismic studies, the emphasis is data and probability. For a certain region in ancient times to accurately forecast, on today's information collection and horizontal comparison, statistical point of view, there is no universal meaning.
Penck silver so that he mixed feelings on earthquake prediction. Because the earthquake occurred in the ground more than ten kilometers to tens of kilometers, can not directly detect. "For years,outlet piumini, seismologists have been hoping to find a necessary connection with the earthquake precursory phenomena, but until today still have not found." He said that currently all known methods of earthquake prediction accuracy rate is not high, limited reference value .
Three friends doubts: Is the Earth into the seismic activity?
Earthquake experts: statistics show that the trend did not change significantly
Since the earthquake, Yushu earthquake, Chile earthquake,http://bbs.sanqinyigong.com/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=839044, a large earthquake occurs deeply shocked people's hearts, but also a time to stimulate the human increasingly fragile nerves, there are friends and even ridicule - "Earth has turned vibration mode" to alleviate the fear of the unknown. Earth, really into the active period?
In this regard, high-Meng Tan provides some data to illustrate. From 2000 to 2010, worldwide more than six times the earthquake was 161 times, 137 times, 140 times, 157 times, 183 times, 151 times, 153 times,moncler italia outlet, 196 times, 180 times, 161 times, 173 times. From the frequency point of view, the number of earthquakes per year have some ups and downs. The overall trend,http://ls.hong-plus.com/bbsnew/ShowPost.asp?ThreadID=5189483, more than six times in recent years, a slight increase in earthquakes, but the maximum value occurred in 2007.
In dealing with every day and earthquake scientists in the eyes, "these concerns actually not necessary." Penck Silver believes that the earthquake is a natural phenomenon that has its normal development and evolution of the law. He said that the reason why now we feel more and more serious earthquake, in fact, pay more attention to the eyes, is a kind of intuition. If the seismic activity on a longer history, the current global seismic activity or normal ups and downs.
Highly developed industrial civilization living in the modern information society of the 21st century mankind will undoubtedly face a new topic, the idea of ??natural disasters. Expression of nearly 30 years of high seismic Meng Tan researcher so his views:. "Earthquake disaster, the human must face natural disasters,http://web.nua.edu.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=99930," On the one hand, by means of integrated monitoring, forecasting,site nike pas cher, prevention and emergency rescue, earthquake disaster will be reduced to a minimum The degree, which has been the practice in many countries. On the other hand,magasin jordan, for earthquake prediction research, but also need human heads together in this world scientific problems to overcome.