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will be expected to guide capital gradually increase risk appetite, pushing valuations rise.3) The last several years, "upshift" could draw to a close, the "new position" a medium-term sustainable number is gradually formed. By internal and external factors affecting intertwined growth of China's economy in the past few years continued downward,tn air max 2014 pas cher, but in 2014 the growth rate is still high probability over 7%, and there is deflationary pressure,abercrombie femme, indicating that China's current growth may have been at or below the "potential growth, "continued years of growth is expected near the end of the shift. Meanwhile,louboutin femme, the ongoing comprehensive reform.
but regulators are expected to introduce transitional arrangements for the introduction of the process of making a relatively smooth and minimize the impact on the market.2015 China Market Key downside risks from the periphery. Are European region will reoccurrence quagmire is unknown; US interest rates may lead to concerns about emerging market liquidity; if international oil prices will remain weak if instability in the Middle East or other major oil producers will also be of concern even worse.
2014 China A-shares to the current trend, and many? "Silk" shares "counter-attack" exceeded expectations early in most pessimistic people. If the 2014 "reform" is the main driver of the market, then 2015 will be a key market interest rates.Despite the turbulence in the external market or individual stocks accumulated large increases and other factors affecting the market may stage a correction,christian louboutin boots, but for 2015 we remain optimistic about the market performance throughout the year, the estimated annual A-share market is expected to achieve about 20% of annual earnings:1) The reform will continue to exert. As of the end of the eighth session of the third quarter of 2014 more than 300 reforms mentioned in the Third Plenary About 70% have started or have made positive progress. We expect the 2015 reform will continue,louboutin pas cher, in the economic field,pjs homme, including state-owned enterprise reform, tax reform,tn soldes, the household registration system reform,louboutin femme, land reform, financial reform will promote or deepen, improve income distribution,louboutin pas cher homme, improve the efficiency and quality of growth,tn, and enhance sustainable growth sex. These reforms,tn requin, together with the non-economic areas, China will continue to reduce the market risk premium.2) market interest rates gradually downward,talon louboutin pas cher, is expected to "share debt Baruah." Valuation and the actual market rate Chinese market showed some negative correlation. In the past few years,hollister soldes france, inflation gradually downward, but monetary policy "Mingsong real tight", Chinese real high interest rates, market valuations continued downward. After the policy of gradual relaxation and 2014 the government blocked several other local government financing platform "suck money" loophole, 2015 overall liquidity is expected to loose, especially the short end of the interest rate market interest rates are expected to continue downward, for several years at a high level of real interest rates is expected to gradually decline. Real interest rates down.
structural problems are being corrected, and long-term growth,scarpe hogan uomo, predictability and continuity is gradually increased.Annual revenue in 2015 mainly by earnings growth and valuation upgrade double promotion. A share in 2015 compared to expected 2014 earnings (currently the top-down forecast 8.7%) have speed reached 10.6% (of which the financial growth of 7.1%). Income growth is relatively stable, due to the relatively stable margins or upstream price,nike air max 90, cost management,nike tn 2014, tax savings and other factors continue to improve.The overall easing of liquidity and promote market valuation slight expansion. Despite the United States may raise interest rates and other factors interfere in 2015,abercrombie pas cher, as China's policy will have a larger space to cope with uncertainty, will continue to move toward easing policy in general.From inside China, the financial products and real estate "suck money" speed may be gradually decreased,hogan rebel, while the relative attractiveness of the stock of assets on the rise; from an external point of view, after Shanghai and Hong Kong through Hong Kong and Shenzhen will also pass into view, QFII and RQFII is expected to gradually expand the scale, MSCI index may also be included in its A-share index system. These changes are likely to make 2015 the overall stock market liquidity environment is more favorable."Registration system" launch may be another "suck money" factor.
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发表于 2014-11-2 07:54:45
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