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but also observed. RMB is expected to depreciate against the yen may be short-term,scarpe hogan, medium and long term will appreciate.Medium and long term, as the global market is awash with liquidity trend is hard to change,hollister e co, and China's central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, the international market there is the interest rate differential, is bound to attract hot money inflows.In fact,louboutin prix, the liquidity on the Chinese capital market with substantial surface easing liquidity shortages exist,calzature hogan, the central bank of a tight little tight,felpe hollister, a sharp rise in market interest rates immediately, which gives the opportunity of speculative hot money. Long-term perspective,air max pas cher enfant, it is difficult to reverse the trend of hot money inflows. For example, in September,barbour, China's central bank foreign exchange reserves increased by 268.2 billion.
far more than in Western countries, the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate does have fundamental support. The next few years, the United States, Britain, Japan's GDP growth could reach around 2%, but the euro-zone economy is difficult to see the recent growth of 2%. Even if the average growth rate of 2%, compared with 7.5% also have a huge gap. Imagine, if you keep such a big gap of 10 years, how the RMB exchange rate will not continue, more substantial appreciation?The risk of China's economy is still controllable, in the fourth quarter of China's economic slowdown will not be big.
the continued appreciation of the RMB exchange rate trend is unlikely to change. Expected next year against the dollar will likely break through 1/6 mark. Since the fourth quarter, the dollar index rebounded steadily,nike air max femme, so the main target of the RMB exchange rate appreciation of the euro. The following reasons:First, monetary policy differences. Currency trends from major Western countries policy perspective, the Fed's ultra-loose to lead the short-term is difficult to change the environment,air max pas cher femme, the economy is expected to recover in the fourth quarter of this year, including early next year will be slightly accelerated, the Fed will begin early next exit QE3, these fundamentals on objective factors can support a steady rebound in the dollar.Although some improvement in the euro-zone economy, but the recovery is still a long way from the stable, short-term danger of stalling. November 7, the European Central Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates to continue to ease monetary policy,abercrombie pantalon, the RMB exchange rate against the euro in the fourth quarter will be compensatory growth.Japan's economy is to recover faster,tn, but most rely on the implementation of the early ultra-loose monetary policy, expected in the fourth quarter, the discussion on the consumption tax will heat up,tn pas cher, the attendant is the Bank of Japan will continue its ultra-loose,echarpes abercrombie and fitch, so the yen will remain volatile City, the Bank of Japan early next year whether to expand the scale bond purchases.
an increase of 220 billion in October, suggesting that the influx of hot money and the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate has a strong positive correlation.Second, China's market-oriented reform is expected to increase the pressure of RMB appreciation. Although the continued appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, but it is under the control of the passive appreciation of the real exchange rate and the market level there is a large gap. And Shanghai as well as the establishment of a free trade zone on the RMB exchange rate reform is expected to accelerate, indicating that China's financial market regulations will be gradually relaxed, it would certainly increase the expected appreciation of the RMB exchange rate. From a macroeconomic study, after the eighth plenary meeting, Chinese financial market reforms will lead,abercrombie vestes, market-oriented reforms in other factor markets will intensify, these reforms will increase the gold content of the renminbi, to enhance the attractiveness of the yuan.Instead of leading to the full range of the RMB exchange reform will follow the trend of globalization of financial markets, the objective should also Europe and Japan,hollister, and the voice of the yuan appreciation,nike tn requin, which, have a clear understanding. At the same time we must realize that reform and opening up is Correspondingly, China to increase opening up, Western countries have reciprocal opening, which can increase China's imports, while increasing the appreciation of the renminbi just China's purchasing power.Third, steady and rapid development of China's economy and the major Western countries economic malaise tremendous contrast, long-term perspective,hollister pas cher france, the speed difference will be greater, the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate is not very difficult.Over the years, the continued appreciation of the RMB exchange rate although there is speculation factors expected factors, passive factor,hollister outlet, but the long-term growth of the Chinese economy to stabilize at around 7.5 percent.
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