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massive inflation,hollister femme, massive bad debts, massive debt the burden of massive overcapacity and large-scale market-oriented backwards.In addition,louboutin prix, we overemphasize the total macroscopic analysis,woolrich prezzi, the relative neglect of the microscopic analysis of individual behavior, and in fact often the macro and micro economic development, integration, and macro aggregates is built on the basis of the microscopic behavior.Life Week: In the period of rapid economic development,louboutin soldes, we do not like to mention the economic downturn of the argument, in fact, the economic downturn will give us what kind of challenge? It is our ability to calmly deal with it?Zuo Jun: Challenges facing the economic downturn is comprehensive,abercrombie & fitch, it includes: long-term inflation, economic bubble accumulation, resource and environmental constraints increase, increasing social costs of economic development, economic development, environmental degradation,woolrich uomo, international challenges and so on. Problems and challenges is not terrible,hollister soldes, terrible thing is that we do not know where it is. After a clear understanding of the issues and challenges, we may well respond to the challenge well.Life Week: Now a lot of people are concerned, we have accumulated in the bubble economy will not suddenly be broken?Zuo Jun: If the government's macro-control use of superb technology, the bubble a little bit squeezed, they will not cause the economic crisis and social unrest,barbour france, while timely fostered new economic growth point and new competitive advantages.
in the past we are too dependent on the Keynesian macroeconomic analysis framework, in fact, a lot of deficiencies.Keynesian macroeconomic analysis framework overemphasis exports,zanotti homme, investment and consumption demand of these three effects, the relative neglect of the role of the supply, and in fact the economic development is the result of interaction of supply and demand, supply factors,hollister femme, including technological progress,abercrombies, human capital increases, the structure upgrade even institutional innovation.We have too much emphasis on short-term analysis.
long-term analysis of relative neglect. Our analysis also overemphasize economic factors, the relative neglect of the analysis of non-economic factors; too much emphasis on the role of government, the relative neglect of the role of the market. In the past few years, the anti-crisis, the government obviously used the Keynesian theory: crisis,chaussures louboutin, and economic growth declined, unemployment has increased, it began to emphasize the role of government,hollisters, massive investment by governments, large-scale construction, large-scale printing money. This brings two results: on the one hand, rapid economic recovery and a rebound, immediate; on the other hand, the economy has begun to emerge or imminent large-scale asset price bubbles.
"Demographic dividend" of change,abercrombies, is an important factor in China's economic growth downside it?Zuo Jun: demographic dividend is only one factor affecting China's economic growth momentum of China's economic growth on an objective, broad face covered. Including the demand for power, that we often say "troika"; the second is to optimize the power structure, industrialization, urbanization, regional economic integration, industrial upgrading; third is to increase factor inputs; four elements of the upgrade, that technological progress human capital increases, such as information technology; five is institutional change,magasin hollister, through institutional change can mobilize everyone's enthusiasm and creativity, promote economic growth; six is distorted, especially depress prices of production factors; seven is to keep welfare spending, increase economic development expenditures; eight is to adopt economic stimulus; nine through government enterprise, the pursuit of high economic growth.Now, six of which have suffered different degrees of problems,zanotti femme, only institutional change, structural optimization,parajumperss, the power of these three elements of the upgrade is the main driving force in the future of our country, of which the most important is the institutional change, because the structure and elements of optimization upgrades are dependent on institutional change.Life Week: In other words, we have to use the means to stimulate economic development, to maintain their competitive advantage in low-cost disappear out of welfare spending should be compressed to make up later. Leaving only the institutional changes, structural optimization,doudoune femme moncler, upgrade these three elements to make a fuss, in order to promote sustainable economic development. After that we do macroeconomic analysis, is not it should pay more attention to changes in these three factors?Zuo Jun: I think we should analyze the macroeconomic perspective few more dollars.
promote industrial restructuring and upgrading , which is considered a "soft landing", the foam will not break. The so-called "money shortage", the central government is in the process showed a determination to squeeze the bubble occurred by the end of June 2013. The central government hopes to become a general reform makes the real estate industry and other entities to the economy more fair competitive environment, which involves a set of reform issues and reform of monopoly privilege.As for how would happen "money shortage", where the money went? In addition to surface factors, the final analysis, the money was real estate and local government investment and financing platform sucked. If the government to GDP-oriented performance appraisal system is not changed.
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